Pre-tourney Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#175
Pace66.2#206
Improvement+3.7#52

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
Improvement+2.7#48

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
Improvement+0.9#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 279   @ Samford W 76-69 63%     1 - 0 +3.5 -1.4 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2011 268   UC Riverside W 53-49 OT 81%     2 - 0 -5.6 -22.5 +16.7
  Nov 23, 2011 128   @ Penn St. L 71-82 28%     2 - 1 -5.0 +0.7 -5.5
  Nov 26, 2011 312   @ St. Francis (PA) W 60-59 76%     3 - 1 -6.6 -2.5 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2011 119   @ Detroit Mercy W 64-61 25%     4 - 1 1 - 0 +9.8 -3.5 +13.5
  Dec 03, 2011 214   @ Wright St. L 62-63 47%     4 - 2 1 - 1 -0.4 +3.4 -3.9
  Dec 10, 2011 103   @ Buffalo L 72-80 22%     4 - 3 +0.1 -4.0 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2011 197   @ Toledo L 77-86 44%     4 - 4 -7.5 -3.5 -3.2
  Dec 19, 2011 73   @ Akron L 62-88 17%     4 - 5 -15.8 -10.1 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2011 148   Robert Morris L 56-59 57%     4 - 6 -5.0 -4.4 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2011 88   @ Cleveland St. W 73-67 20%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +14.9 +13.0 +2.5
  Jan 05, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 68-64 OT 82%     6 - 6 3 - 1 -6.0 +0.5 -6.0
  Jan 07, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 71-50 83%     7 - 6 4 - 1 +10.7 +0.2 +12.6
  Jan 13, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 62-76 31%     7 - 7 4 - 2 -9.0 -5.8 -3.9
  Jan 15, 2012 129   @ Butler L 55-71 28%     7 - 8 4 - 3 -10.0 -5.3 -6.3
  Jan 20, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-66 58%     8 - 8 5 - 3 -0.3 +0.8 -0.9
  Jan 22, 2012 176   Green Bay W 77-47 65%     9 - 8 6 - 3 +26.0 +7.9 +20.0
  Jan 28, 2012 88   Cleveland St. L 47-67 41%     9 - 9 6 - 4 -17.9 -21.5 +2.8
  Jan 31, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-65 32%     10 - 9 7 - 4 +12.5 +6.1 +6.6
  Feb 02, 2012 280   @ Illinois-Chicago L 68-72 63%     10 - 10 7 - 5 -7.5 +4.0 -12.1
  Feb 05, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 80-63 62%     11 - 10 8 - 5 +13.8 +16.7 -0.8
  Feb 09, 2012 129   Butler L 59-68 53%     11 - 11 8 - 6 -9.8 -8.6 -1.4
  Feb 11, 2012 144   Valparaiso W 71-53 56%     12 - 11 9 - 6 +16.2 +0.5 +16.7
  Feb 14, 2012 176   @ Green Bay L 65-71 39%     12 - 12 9 - 7 -3.2 -3.2 -0.2
  Feb 18, 2012 212   @ Austin Peay L 68-71 46%     12 - 13 -2.2 -1.9 -0.5
  Feb 23, 2012 214   Wright St. W 61-54 72%     13 - 13 10 - 7 +0.8 -8.1 +9.2
  Feb 25, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 74-76 49%     13 - 14 10 - 8 -2.0 +4.0 -6.1
  Feb 28, 2012 176   Green Bay W 77-60 65%     14 - 14 +13.0 +9.0 +5.3
  Mar 02, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 76-93 36%     14 - 15 -13.6 -0.2 -12.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%